Friday, January 22, 2010
Reference: Meeting Copenhagen's challenge, Bangkok Post, January 22, 2010
Such is the wily power of bureaucratic double-speak that it can paint the failed climate meeting in Copenhagen as a great success; and a document called an "Accord" only because no signatory would accept the word "Treaty", as a positive outcome (Meeting Copenhagen's challenge, Bangkok Post, January 22, 2010). The global warming movement and the whole of the allegedly scientific case against carbon dioxide are based on exactly this kind of word magic that always leads to the same conclusions whatever the data.
Saturday, January 16, 2010
Reference: Maldive state of mind, Bangkok Post, January 17, 2010
World leaders went to the climate meeting in Copenhagen to "negotiate" not to discuss "the laws of physics" (Maldive state of mind, Bangkok Post, January 17, 2010). The language of these negotiations was cloaked in pretensions of lofty environmental goals but there was really only one item being negotiated and that item was and is money not physics.
At one level, the money negotiations had to do with the chicanery of the rich countries willing to pay billions to developing countries to stop developing; and at a more seedy and greedy level there were the so called "vulnerable countries" like the Maldives. An extreme form of greed had set in among them when it seemed that they had won the global warming lottery because they apparently stood to collect an immense fortune as reparations from the rich countries. Thereafter, climate negotiations quickly devolved into money negotiations - how much, when, by whom, and to whom. In poker terms, the poor countries called the bluff of the rich and that caused the meeting to end in disarray.
Although much maligned by Thai journalists, Thailand's position in these talks - that it recognizes the Kyoto Protocol as the only international agreement on climate change - has been singularly clear and consistent from beginning to end without a greed component that might have required a media circus like holding a cabinet meeting under water.
Tuesday, January 12, 2010
Reference: Vanishing ice and political fire, Bangkok Post, January 13, 2010
Reference: Early climate change victim: Andes water, Bangkok Post, December 18, 2007
The Andes around La Paz and El Alto in Bolivia is a semi-arid region with a well known and well documented water supply problem that has periodically gone through crisis situations for all of recorded history. The fragility of the water supply derives from the impermanence of the evanescent glaciers that make up the principal source of water. The history of the region has been shaped by changes in this source of water. The water supply situation there was as bad back in the time of Simon Bolivar as it is today. It is not possible to relate this feature of the Bolivian Andes to carbon dioxide emissions nor to moderate the problem by reducing emissions as repeatedly suggested in the media (Vanishing ice and political fire, Bangkok Post, January 13, 2010; and Early climate change victim: Andes water, Bangkok Post, December 18, 2007)
Monday, January 11, 2010
Reference: Walruses suffer losses as sea ice erodes, Bangkok Post, January 11, 2010
It is a fanciful idea that carbon dioxide emissions are causing polar bears and walruses to die out (Walruses suffer losses as sea ice erodes, Bangkok Post, January 11, 2010) as the data show that their numbers are growing, not diminishing.The only threat to these creatures has been over hunting, not carbon dioxide. They have seen a lot worse than the 2007 summer melt and they are still around and thriving. Subsequent summer melts and winter recoveries in the Arctic after 2007 did not get progressively worse as predicted by the warmists but did exactly the opposite. It is possibly because they have been thus spurned by the ice data that the warmists are now playing the Bambi card with the spurious claim that our carbon dioxide emissions are harming cute and cuddly creatures.
Saturday, January 09, 2010
Reference: Cold snap not end of global warming, Bangkok Post, January 8, 2010
It is strange irony to see the warmists acknowledge the natural variability of climate (Cold snap not end of global warming, Bangkok Post, January 8, 2010) stating that the coldest northern winter in 40 years " does not disprove global warming" because the bitter winter weather is simply a short term "blip" and a manifestation of "the natural variability of climate". Of course, had it been the warmest winter in 40 years they would be singing a different tune.
That tune is the one they sang for the 2003 heat wave in Europe and the 2007 summer melt of Arctic ice; as well as for Hurricane Katrina, Cyclones Sidr and Aila, recent floods and droughts in China, and droughts in southern Africa, and Australia. In all of these cases, short term weather events and the effects of known regional weather patterns were presented not as "blips" nor as "the natural variability of climate" but as the consequence of carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels.
In the very same article they slip back to this old tune and present the deceptive statistic that "2009 will rank among the 10 warmest years since 1880" implying that these data indicate a warming trend even though the cited statistic could be produced by the natural variability of climate without a warming trend. In any case, the issue is not the alleged warming trend itself but whether it represents a natural variation or whether it is caused by fossil fuels.
The science of the warmists depends on the unscientific notion that data that support their hypothesis are good data and should be retained while those that do not are blips and outliers that must be discarded; as well as the attitude that they already know the answer and need data only to convince the masses. That attitude renders research methods into propaganda methods and encourages climate scientists to use statistics only as a marketing tool.
Wednesday, January 06, 2010
The rise and fall of the global warming hype
A search for the phrases "climate change" and "global warming" in newspapers served by pressdisplay.com identified on average 400 newspaper articles per day during the week ending October 1, 2009. The attached chart shows that in the ensuing weeks, leading up to the climate meeting in Copenhagen, the number rose rapidly reaching 950 newspaper articles per day at the height of the climate summit and thereafter declined precipitously. By the end of the year it had fallen below the October figure of 400 articles per day. In early 2010 a more gradual but steady decline had set in and by the end of January it had fallen below 200 articles per day.
On the heels of this implosion, we find a sudden rise in global warming articles reaching 350 articles per day in early February. This time around, however, the global warming stories are of a different flavor quite unlike the alarmist articles of the past. They are not hysterical descriptions of climate catastrophe but in fact angry reactions of the mainstream media to the fraudulent methods of climate scientists that are now being exposed.
The data show that a massive propaganda machine had taken over a pliant print media and that in the heels of Copenhagen, the global warming propaganda juggernaut had run out out of steam having failed to make its case in that penultimate meeting. It now appears that their failure served to expose not only shortcomings in their case against carbon dioxide but also a modus operandi replete with over zealous evangelism and scientific fraud. All along the Quixotic war on carbon dioxide by so called "climate scientists" had never been science but rather a case of environmental jihad based on what they believed were revealed truths of a divine nature and that therefore the end justified the means and science be damned.
Reference: Redd Alert, Bangkok Post, January 6, 2010
The idea that carbon dioxide from fossil fuels accumulates in the atmosphere and causes global warming is based on the argument that fossil fuels, having been removed from the carbon cycle for millions of years by geological formations, are an extraneous shock to the current carbon account. The alleged legitimacy of anthropogenic global warming is derived from a clear distinction between nature's carbon flux and man-made carbon emission from fossil fuels. It should be noted that the latter is a very small fraction - less than 5% - of the former and its exaggerated impact on climate is rationalized only in terms of its alleged externality.
Somewhere along the way the warmists appear to have lost track of this aspect of their own theory and have begun to identify even natural and non fossil fuel elements of the carbon cycle as causes of rising atmospheric carbon dioxide. This trend is likely due to a sense of desperation in the warmist camp as people become less and less enamored of their tales of climate catastrophe and also due to the necessity, for the sake of international climate negotiations, of identifying developing countries like Indonesia as major emitters of carbon dioxide at par with the developed countries.
The inclusion of living matter - not just fossils - as emitters carbon dioxide that causes climate change leads to contradictions that have no resolution. For example, it is claimed that 2.3 million tons of carbon emissions per year from "forest destruction" in Indonesia cause climate change (Redd Alert, Bangkok Post, January 6, 2010) but 47 million tons per year of emissions from forest fires in the USA do not; and slash and burn agriculture in Indonesia is considered human activity but a forest fire caused by vandalism is not. It is a recipe for confusion.
The global warming movement has reduced all environmental concerns into a single issue and thus finds itself with the impossible task of having to express traditional environmental problems in terms of carbon and thereby to compromise environmental issues that cannot be thus expressed.