THE NULL HYPOTHESIS ISSUE IN CLIMATE SCIENCE AND THE ROLE OF SUPERSTITION IN CLIMATE SCIENCE ---------- THIS POST IS A CRITICAL EVALUATION OF THE HYPOTHESIS TESTING PROCEDURE IN CLIMATE SCIENCE. WE SHOW THAT CLIMATE SCIENCE CONTAINS A BIAS FOR THE TRUTH OF THAT WHICH IS TO BE PROVEN AND THAT THEREFORE CLIMATE SCIENCE CANNOT BE CONSIDERED TO BE UNBIASED AND OBJECTIVE SCIENTIFIC INQUIRY. ------------ SPECIFICALLY, IN OBJECTIVE UNBIASED SCIENTIFIC INQUIRY, THAT WHICH IS TO BE PROVEN MUST BE THE ALTERNATE HYPOTHESIS AND ITS NEGATION THEN BECOMES THE NULL HYPOTHESIS. THE UNBIASED DATA COLLECTION MUST THEN PROVIDE SIGNIFICANT EVIDENCE TO REJECT THE NULL IN ORDER TO ACCEPT THE TRUTH OF THAT WHICH IS TO BE PROVEN. ------------ THE TRUTH OF THAT WHICH IS TO BE PROVEN WHEN TAKEN AS THE NULL HYPOTHESIS CONTAINS A BIAS AND IT VIOLATES THE SCIENTIFIC METHOD SUCH THAT THE RESEARCH FINDINGS OF THIS METHODOLOGY CANNOT BE TAKEN AS THE PRODUCT OF OBJECTIVE AND UNBIASED SCIENTIFIC INQUIRY. THE ODD LOGIC IN CLIMATE SCIENCE DESCRIBED AS “THE LESS WE KNOW THE SCARIER IT GETS” DERIVES FROM THIS STATISTICAL ERROR. THE TRUTH OF THAT WHICH IS TO BE PROVEN STANDS AS TRUTH UNTIL PROVEN WRONG. -------------- THIS BIAS IS OFTEN ACKNOWLEDGED AND THEN DEFENDED WITH THE PRECAUTIONARY PRINCIPLE. THE PRECAUTIONARY PRINCIPLE IS USED IN ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH WHERE THIS BIAS IN RESEARCH METHODOLOGY IS NEEDED TO MAKE SURE THAT WE AVOID THE GREATER HORROR OF BEING WRONG ABOUT THE DANGER OF THAT WHICH IS TO BE PROVEN DANGEROUS BECAUSE THE HORROR IS GREATER THAN THE COST OF BEING WRONG ABOUT THE HORROR. IN THIS CONTEXT, THE CALL FOR THE WORLD TO TAKE COSTLY CLIMATE ACTION CAN BE TRANSLATED AS {YOU MUST DO AS WE SAY JUST IN CASE WE ARE RIGHT}. THE COST OF AVOIDING THE HORROR THAT AWAITS US IF WE ARE RIGHT IS LESS THAN THE COST OF THE HORROR. ------------ THE BIAS IS FOUND IN THE CLIMATE SCIENCE LITERATURE. ---------------- THIS LOGIC IS THE NORM IN THE ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES WHERE IT IS REFERRED TO AS THE PRECAUTIONARY PRINCIPLE, A METHODOLOGY KNOWN TO FOR ITS CONFIRMATION BIAS.THIS PROCEDURE IS A KIND OF SUPERSTITION AS EXPLAINED IN THE DOCUMENT LINKED BELOW. ---------------- LINK TO THE PRECAUTIONARY PRINCIPLE: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/12/27/superstitious-humans/ THE LANGUAGE OF CLIMATE SCIENCE RESEARCH FINDINGS EXPOSES CONFIRMATION BIAS ---------------- EXAMPLE: FISHING FOR CLIMATE CALAMITY:CLIMATE CHANGE IS REDUCING THE NUMBER OF FISH IN THE OCEAN. THE SO CALLED FISH APOCALYPSE. EXAMPLE: THE DEARTH OF SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE ONLY ADDS TO THE ALARM: MEANING THAT THE LESS CLIMATE SCIENCE KNOWS THE MORE REASON THERE IS FOR THE HUMANS TO SPEND BILLIONS AND BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ON CLIMATE ACTION. SUMMARY: THE INHERENT SUPERSTITIOUS NATURE OF HUMANS HAS BEEN USED IN THE CREATION OF THE CLIMATE CRISIS AND CLIMATE EMERGENCY OF OUR TIME IN WHICH FOSSIL FUELS, THE PRODUCERS OF FOSSIL FUELS, AND THE CAPITALIST ECONOMY THAT PROFITS FROM FOSSIL FUELS ARE THE WITCHES THAT NEED TO BE BURNED TO FULFILL ACTIVISM NEEDS AGAINST FOSSIL FUELS. CLIMATE SCIENCE MAY HAVE SOME SCIENCE IN IT BUT IT IS BEST UNDERSTOOD AS ANTI FOSSIL FUEL ACTIVISM IN WHICH EXXON AND CAPITALISM ARE THE WITCHES. BOTTOM LINE: CLIMAT SCIENCE IS RELIGION AND NOT SCIENCE