THE ODDITY OF AN INTERGLACIAL WARMING CYCLE
Posted on: August 17, 2021
LINK KYLE ON QUORA ASKS:
WHAT HAPPENS WHEN GLOBAL WARMING STOPS?
THERE IS MORE TO THIS QUESTION THAN MEETS THE EYE.
ITEM#1: IN A RELATED POST: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/06/11/chaoticholocene/ WE FIND THAT THE 11,000-YEAR HISTORY OF THE HOLOCENE INTERGLACIAL SHOWS THAT THE EARTH’S TEMPERATURE HAS NEVER BEEN FLAT WITH NEITHER WARMING NOR COOLING. IN OTHER WORDS, THE ABSENCE OF A TEMPERATURE TREND IS NOT FOUND IN THE DATA. INSTEAD WHAT WE FIND IS THAT AT ANY GIVEN TIME THE WORLD IS EITHER WARMING OR COOLING.
WHAT’S MORE, THESE WARMING AND COOLNG CYCLES ARE ALWAYS AT MILLENNIAL AND CENTENNIAL TIME SCALES, THE VERY SAME TIME SCALES FOUND IN THE CHAOTIC BACK AND FORTH TEMPERATURE DYNAMICS OF GLACIATION AND DEGlACIATION CYCLES SEEN IN THE CHAOS VIDEO IN THE RELATED POST LINKED ABOVE AND IN THE STILL FRAMES OF THAT VIDEO PRESENTED BELOW.
THE VIDEO IN THE RELATED POST MOVES THROUGH TIME AT 1791 YEARS PER SECOND SO THESE CHAOTIC DYNAMICS MAY BE DIFFICULT TO FOLLOW. THE STILL FRAMES PRESENTED BELOW ARE 11,000 YEARS APART AND THEY CLEARLY SHOW THE BACK AND FORTH ICE GAIN AND ICE LOSS CYCLES AT CHAOTIC TIME SCALES BETWEEN CENTENNIAL AND MILLENNIAL IN BOTH GLACIATION AND DEGLACIATION.
CHAOS VIDEO STILL FRAMES FOR GLACATION: 120,000 YEARS AGO TO 66,000 YEARS AGO
CHAOS VIDEO STILL FRAMES FOR DEGLACATION: 66,000 YEARS AGO TO 11,000 YEARS AGO
WHAT WE SEE IN THESE IMAGES OF THE GLACIATION AND DEGLACIATION CYCLES IS THAT THEY BOTH CONTAIN CHAOTIC BACK AND FORTH DYNAMICS OF ICING AND DE-ICING AT CENTENNIAL AND MILLENNIAL TIME SCALES. THE ONLY DIFFERENCE BETWEEN GLACIATION AND DEGLACIATION IS THAT THE GLACIATION CYCLE CONTAINS A SLIGHT EDGE FOR ICE FORMATION AND THE DEGLACIATION CYCLE CONTAINS A SLIGHT EDGE FOR ICE MELT.
AND HERE IS THE AMAZING PART. THE VERY SAME CHAOTIC BEHAVIOR OF TEMPERATURE IS FOUND IN INTERGLACIALS. THE IDENTICAL CHAOTIC BEHAVIOR OF TEMPERATURE AT THE SAME TIME SCALE IS ALSO SEEN IN BOTH THE HOLOCENE INTERGLACIAL THAT WE LIVE IN AND IN THE PRIOR INTERGLACIAL, THE EEMIAN. LINK TO EEMIAN INTERGLACIAL POST: https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/12/21/eemian/ .
THIS MEANS THAT THE ANSWER TO THE QUESTION POSED BY LINK KYLE IS THIS. TEMPERATURE TRENDS DON’T END. IT IS EITHER WARMING OR COOLING. THE CURRENT WARMING CYCLE OF THE HOLOCENE CAME FROM THE PRIOR COOLING CYCLE OF THE HOLOCENE AND IT WILL END INTO THE NEXT COOLING CYCLE OF THE HOLOCENE. THE EARTH’S TEMPERATURE IS NEVER STABLE. IT IS A CHAOTIC DYNAMIC OF WARMING AND COOLING CYCLES AT CENTENNIAL AND MILLENNIAL TIME SCALES.
A BIBLIOGRAPHY OF PUBLISHED RESEARCH PAPERS ON THIS TOPIC IS PRESENTED BELOW AND THE 1997 PAPER BY GERARD BOND IS HIGHLIGHTED. THE BIBLIOGRAPHY OF RESEARCH ON THIS TOPIC SUPPORTS THE CONCLUSIONS PRESENTED ABOVE.
Bond, Gerard, et al. “A pervasive millennial-scale cycle in North Atlantic Holocene and glacial climates.” science278.5341 (1997): 1257-1266. Evidence from North Atlantic deep sea cores reveals that abrupt shifts punctuated what is conventionally thought to have been a relatively stable Holocene climate. During each of these episodes, cool, ice-bearing waters from north of Iceland were advected as far south as the latitude of Britain. At about the same times, the atmospheric circulation above Greenland changed abruptly. Pacings of the Holocene events and of abrupt climate shifts during the last glaciation are statistically the same; together, they make up a series of climate shifts with a cyclicity close to 1470 ± 500 years. The Holocene events, therefore, appear to be the most recent manifestation of a pervasive millennial-scale climate cycle operating independently of the glacial-interglacial climate state. Amplification of the cycle during the last glaciation may have been linked to the North Atlantic’s thermohaline circulation.
SUMMARY & CONCLUSION: A literature review shows that climate appears to exhibit properties of non-linear dynamics and deterministic chaos over centennial to millennial time scales. Glaciation is not a linear and well behaved period of cooling and ice accumulation and deglaciation is not a linear and well behaved period of warming and ice dissipation. Rather, both glaciation and deglaciation are chaotic events consisting of both processes differentiated only by a slight advantage to ice accumulation in glaciation and a slight advantage to ice dissipation in deglaciation and interglacials. It is in this context that all Holocene temperature cycles must be viewed. If climate science can explain these Holocene temperature cycles as deterministic cause and effect phenomena, they should explain all of them and not just pick one of them to explain in that way because that kind of empirical research is subject to data selection bias, confirmation bias, and circular reasoning. The climate science of Anthropogenic Global Warming and Climate Change that has selected only the post LIA warming cycle to explain as a cause and effect phenomenon can be rejected solely on that basis.
THE CHAOTIC DYNAMICS OF TEMPERATURE DESCRIBED ABOVE INVALIDATES THE CLIMATE SCIENCE ASSUMPTION THAT AN INTERGLACIAL WARMING CYCLE IN THE HEELS OF A COOLING CYCLE IS AN ODDITY THAT REQUIRES AN EXPLANATION IN TERMS OF HUMAN CAUSE. THE TEMPERATURE OF EARTH MUST BE UNDERSTOOD AS A NATURAL CHAOTIC DYNAMIC BETWEEN WARMING AND COOLING CYCLES AT CENTENNIAL AND MILLENNIAL TIME SCALES AND NOT AS AN INVARIANT STATE WHERE WARMING OR COOLING REQUIRES AN EXPLANATION IN TERMS OF HUMAN CAUSE.
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