Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Reference: The inconvenient truth, Bangkok Post, February 12, 2008

Global warming scientists have used a computer climate model to predict that by the year 2030 yields of critical crops will fall sufficiently in southern Africa and in South Asia to cause famine (The inconvenient truth, Bangkok Post, February 12, 2008). The affected peoples of these regions may take some comfort in the fact that none of the prior predictions of global warming computer models has come to pass. The year 2007 was not the warmest year on record, the Australian drought did not turn out to be an unprecedented devastation, and the 2006 and 2007 Atlantic hurricane seasons were rather mild and not worse that the 2005 season. Also, many significant climate events did not appear in their forecast. Their model retains whatever credibility it still has only because time is on their side. Some of their predictions are so far in the future that they have yet to be proven wrong.

Cha-am Jamal

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