Tuesday, October 09, 2007

Reference: Busy storm season likely, Bangkok Post, April 5, 2007

The 2005 Atlantic hurricane season was unusually intense and it included Hurricane Katrina's tragic effects on an aging system of levees and the flooding of New Orleans. During the media hype that followed, global warming scientists announced that these events had been caused by greenhouse gases from fossil fuels and that Katrina was the Americans' just reward for driving SUVs and emitting carbon dioxide.

They said that they had scientific evidence to prove this causal linkage and even to forecast with a great deal of certainty that there was more to come in 2006. This prediction did not come true. The 2006 hurricane season turned out to be milder than normal. The IPCC scientists were quiet on this issue. There was no further word from these scientists on the linkage between carbon dioxide emissions and hurricanes until April of 2007 when they issued a new warning that 2007 will bring a killer hurricane season, even worse than the 2005 season (Busy storm season likely, Bangkok Post, April 5, 2007). They said that it will have 17 or more hurricanes and much death and destruction as a consequence of rising greenhouse gas emissions.

The 2007 hurricane season is almost over. Even if this year's hurricane season turns deadly at this late stage, it will not be possible to reach the predicted level of hurricane activity. Once again the global warming scientists appear to have missed the mark. It is not likely that we will hear more from them about hurricanes very soon. There will be no analysis of the relationship between the 2006 and 2007 hurricane seasons and greenhouse gas emissions. They will simply wait until we have a bad hurricane season and then issue their usual alarming press releases. The IPCC is not in the business of providing analysis of all climate data. They are in the business of providing analysis of only those climate data that support their hypothesis.

Cha-am Jamal


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