Monday, October 03, 2022

 THE SEA LEVEL RISE OBSESSION AND THE SEA LEVEL RISE CONFUSION OF CLIMATE SCIENCE 


PART-1: WHAT CLIMATE SCIENCE SAYS

SEA LEVEL RISE CAUSED BY MELTING ICE SHEETS AND WARMING OCEANS IS GETTING WORSE ACCORDING TO A NEW REPORT FROM NASA, NOAA, AND OTHER FEDERAL AGENCIES. THE REPORT SHOWS THAT SEA LEVEL RISE IS ACCELERATING FASTER THAT PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT A FEW YEARS AGO. IT IS A DRAMATIC SHIFT IN SEA LEVEL RISE PROJECTIONS SINCE 2017. WE WERE SUPPOSED TO GET A THIRD OF A METER BY 2100 BUT NOW WE’RE SUPPOSED TO GET A THIRD OF A METER BY 2050. ACCORDING TO THE REPORT, MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR MORE THAN TEN TIMES AS OFTEN AS IT DOES TODAY IT IS SOBERING TO SEE THAT A 100 YEAR ACCELERATION IS NOW A 50 YEAR ACCELERATION. PAULA BON TEMPI, DEAN OF THE ORI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF OCEANOGRAPHY, SAID THAT CONFIDENCE OF THOSE FINDINGS IS HIGHER TOO. ABOUT A FOOT OF SEA LEVEL RISE MIGHT NOT SEEM LIKE MUCH BUT THAT COULD HAVE A DRAMATIC EFFECT IN OUR AREA WHERE 7,000 PROPERTIES ARE IMMEDIATELY AT RISK FROM SEA LEVEL RISE ALONG THE RHODE ISLAND COAST. A NOREASTER OR HURRICANE ON TOP OF THAT HIGHER WATER COULD ONLY MAKE THINGS WORSE ND THAT IS GOING TO MAKE A BIG CHANGE IN COASTAL FLOODING, COASTAL EROSION, AND IMPACT TO COASTAL ECONOMIES. PEOPLE’S HOMES, PEOPLE’S BUSINESSES, MILITARY INFRASTRUCTURE, SCHOOLS, AND THAT SEA LEVEL RISE IS GOING TO HAVE A TREMENDOUS IMPACT. NOW MORE THAN EVER WE NEED TO MANAGE ADAPT TO THE RISING SEAS.

PART-2: CRITICAL COMMENTARY

THAT THE CLIMATE SCIENCE FORECASTS CONTAIN SUCH LARGE UNCERTAINTIES THAT A 2017 FORECAST IS FOUND TO BE DEAD WRONG IN 2022 DOES NOT CREATE GREATER CREDIBILITY OF CLIMATE SCIENCE FORECASTS AND GREATER FEAR OF THOSE FORECASTS. IT EXPOSES THE IGNORANCE OF CLIMATE SCIENTISTS IN THE SEA LEVEL RISE ISSUE. THE RELEVANT INFORMATION HERE IS THAT CLIMATE SCIENCE INFORMATION ABOUT SEA LEVEL RISE CONTAINS LARGE UNCERTAINTIES AND IS THEREFORE NOT CREDIBLE.

PART-3: RELATED POSTS ON SEA LEVEL RISE

#1: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2022/02/17/a-new-sea-level-rise-alarm/

HERE WE FIND THAT CLIMATE SCIENCE, WHICH PREACHES THAT THE IMPACTS OF GLOBAL WARMING ARE UNDERSTOOD IN GLOBAL TERMS, ABANDONS THAT PRINCIPLE TO RAISE THE FEAR THAT GLOBAL WARMING WILL CAUSE SEA LEVEL RISE IN THE USA AND NOT GLOBALLY.

#2: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/08/06/the-sea-level-rise-issue/

#3: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/07/31/episodic-coastal-flooding/

#4: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/07/07/sea-level-rise-horror-of-july-2021/

#5: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/03/28/holocene-sea-level-rise/

#6: MUNK’S ENIGMA: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/03/10/spin/

#7: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/02/04/a-tcre-of-sea-level-rise/

#8: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/10/11/antarctica-ice-melt-sea-level-rise-2020/

#9: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/10/02/scary-sea-level-rise-by-2100/

#10: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/09/19/greenlands-future-sea-level-rise/

CONCLUSION

LARGE UNCERTAINTIES IN THE CLIMATE SCIENCE ESTIMATION OF SEA LEVEL RISE ATTRIURTBLE TO FOSSIL FUEL EMISSIONS AND THE FAILURE TO TAKE GEOLOGICAL DRIVERS INTO CONSIDERATION EXPLAINS THE FAILED CLIMATE SCIENCE SEA LEVEL RISE ACTIVISM AND THE CONTINUED EFFORTS EVEN WITH A FOOT OF SEA LEVEL RISE AND EVEN WITH LOCALIZED SEA LEVEL RISE THAT CANNOT BE UNDERSTOOD AS GLOBAL TO CREATE THE NEEDED FEAR AS MOTIVATION FOR THE CLIMATE ACTION THAT CLIMATE SCIENCE WANTS.


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